Prediction markets bet on if it happens. We trade what it does.
Trade at the price things would be if you're right.
Starting right now. Guess right, and you make real money, same as if you'd actually bought at that price. Guess wrong, and nothing bad happens. You just get your money back, like the trade never took place.
Try the betaOne contract, two universes. Only the one that matches reality survives to expiry.
A Fed decision, an election, a conflict. Something with a real, upcoming answer.
Gold, priced for a world where it happens, and for a world where it doesn't. Both live, both tradeable, right now.
The universe that didn't happen vanishes and refunds in full. The one that did converges back into spot and keeps trading, like an ordinary market.
Unlock your prediction market positions
If you've already placed a bet somewhere else on this same event, you don't need new money to start. We'll let you use that position directly.